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[edit] Now suppose that we have just tossed four heads in a row. A believer in the gambler's fallacy might say, "If the next coin flipped were to come up heads, it would generate a run of five successive heads. The probability of a run of five successive heads is 0.55 = 0.03125; therefore, the next coin flipped only has a 1 in 32 chance of coming up heads." A typical casino game has a slight house advantage. The advantage is the long-run expectation, most often expressed as a percentage of the amount wagered. It remains constant from one play to the next. If the long-run expectation is expressed as a percentage of the amount that the player starts with, however, then the house advantage increases the longer the player continues. Roulette, as many people know, is a French word that means "little wheel". When I was researching an article on the history of Roulette a while back, I ran into some really amazing stories about its origins. One legend was that the Roulette wheel was actually derived from an early scientist's attempt at creating a perpetual motion device. His attempt failed (darn those pesky laws of physics), but the game caught on.
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